Number of hours
- Lectures 14.0
- Projects 0
- Tutorials 12.0
- Internship 0
- Laboratory works 0
ECTS
ECTS 2.5
Goal(s)
This course has three main objectives
- model experiments/problems with the aid of probability theory
- apply statistical inference to adjust a model to given data
- test a hypothesis to evaluate the conformity of a model (family) to given data
Content(s)
- Probabilities
- probability axioms of Kolmogorov
- real random variables (numbers and vectors): definitions, properties
- mathematical expectation, moments, and characteristic functions
- variable change and the transfer theorem
- concentration inequalities (Chebychev, Kolmogorov) and the laws of big numbers (weak, strong and central limit theorem)
- Statistics
- vocabulary and terminology
- descriptive statistics
- empirical moments
- Fisher's theorem (Fisher's theorem, Helmert's law, Gosset's theorem)
- parametric estimation
- method of moments (K. Pearson)
- maximum likelihood estimator (R.A. Fisher) and properties
- the eternal balance between bias and variance: inequality of Cramér-Rao
- hypothesis testing
- test of adequacy (Khi2 of K. Pearson) and introduction to the number of degrees of freedom
- comparison tests (Kolmogorov and Smirnov)
Prerequisites
- mathematical analysis
- TU 3PUKMATH
- probabilities : axioms, combinatorial, discrete
Test
Additional Information
Course list
Curriculum->1st year engineer PET->Semester 6
Curriculum->1st year engineer PMP->Semester 6
Bibliography
Walter Appel: Probabilités pour les non-probabilistes. 768 pages, H&K, 3° édition, 2023. ISBN 978-2-35141-410-1
Larry Wasserman: All of statistics, a concise course in statistical inference. 442 pages, Springer New York, 2003. ISBN 978-0-387-40272-7